San Jose Sharks at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2024-11-14 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 59.5%
SJS: 40.5%
Expected Goals
NYR: 3.90
SJS: 2.48
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
| Stat | NYR | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.942 | 0.874 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.750 | — |
| GAA | 2.51 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYR at home vs SJS: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | SJS 3 - 1 NYR | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-10-23 | NYR 5 - 6 SJS | SJS | NYR |
| 2025-03-29 | SJS 1 - 6 NYR | NYR | SJS |
| 2024-11-14 | NYR 3 - 2 SJS | NYR | NYR |
| 2024-01-23 | SJS 3 - 2 NYR | SJS | SJS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:51 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 16:21 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 13:15 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 11:41 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 19:33 | NYR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.9 - 2.5