San Jose Sharks at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-11-14 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

NYR: 65.0%

SJS: 35.0%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.56

SJS: 2.71

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 49%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

SJS

Mackenzie Blackwood - 10-25-4 | 0.899 SV% | 3.45 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	27	25	2	92.6%	1.89	2	-0.11
SJS	Mackenzie Blackwood	35	32	3	91.4%	2.82	1	-0.18

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • NYR at home vs SJS: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-23	SJS 3 - 1 NYR	SJS	NYR
2025-10-23	NYR 5 - 6 SJS	SJS	NYR
2025-03-29	SJS 1 - 6 NYR	NYR	SJS
2024-11-14	NYR 3 - 2 SJS	NYR	NYR
2024-01-23	SJS 3 - 2 NYR	SJS	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	12	0	0.65
1	SJS	13	0	0.22
2	NYR	26	1	1.25
2	SJS	9	0	0.37
3	NYR	15	0	0.93
3	SJS	15	2	1.30

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.6 - 2.7