Montreal Canadiens at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2024-11-14 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 3 - 0 Montreal Canadiens

Win Probability

MIN: 73.0%

MTL: 27.0%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.64

MTL: 2.62

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

MTL

Samuel Montembeault - 6-6-1 | 0.863 SV% | 3.52 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	19	19	0	100.0%	1.67	0	1.67
MTL	Samuel Montembeault	28	25	3	89.3%	2.61	2	-0.39

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • MIN at home vs MTL: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-02	MIN 4 - 3 MTL	MIN	MIN
2026-01-20	MTL 4 - 3 MIN	MTL	MTL
2025-01-30	MTL 0 - 4 MIN	MIN	MTL
2024-11-14	MIN 3 - 0 MTL	MIN	MIN
2023-12-21	MIN 4 - 3 MTL	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	9	0	0.25
1	MTL	3	0	0.20
2	MIN	11	0	0.53
2	MTL	14	0	0.68
3	MIN	15	2	1.84
3	MTL	15	0	0.79

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 73.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 3 - 0 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.6 - 2.6