Nashville Predators at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-11-14 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 2 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

EDM: 72.2%

NSH: 27.8%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.63

NSH: 2.32

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 41%

EDM

Calvin Pickard - 4-5-2 | 0.874 SV% | 3.69 GAA

NSH

S. Wedgewood

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Calvin Pickard	22	20	2	90.9%	1.63	0	-0.37
NSH	S. Wedgewood	34	31	3	91.2%	3.54	0	0.54

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • EDM at home vs NSH: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-15	EDM 3 - 1 NSH	EDM	EDM
2026-01-13	NSH 4 - 3 EDM	NSH	NSH
2026-01-06	EDM 6 - 2 NSH	EDM	EDM
2024-11-14	EDM 3 - 2 NSH	EDM	EDM
2024-10-31	NSH 1 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	EDM	13	0.99
1	NSH	14	0.80
2	EDM	20	1.77
2	NSH	4	0.27
3	EDM	10	0.48
3	NSH	9	0.37
4	EDM	3	0.30
4	NSH	1	0.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 72.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 2 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.6 - 2.3