Washington Capitals at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2024-11-15 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 5 Washington Capitals

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

COL: 57.0%

WSH: 43.0%

Expected Goals

COL: 4.79

WSH: 2.44

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • COL at home vs WSH: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	WSH 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-01-19	COL 5 - 2 WSH	COL	COL
2024-11-21	WSH 1 - 2 COL	COL	COL
2024-11-15	COL 2 - 5 WSH	WSH	COL
2024-02-13	WSH 3 - 6 COL	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	15	0	0.61
1	WSH	10	0	0.59
2	COL	14	1	0.62
2	WSH	9	0	0.45
3	COL	12	0	0.61
3	WSH	12	2	1.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 7.2

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 5 Washington Capitals

Expected: 4.8 - 2.4