Washington Capitals at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2024-11-15 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 5 Washington Capitals

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

COL: 54.2%

WSH: 45.8%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.25

WSH: 2.53

Total Goals

Median: 5.2

Over 5.5: 42%

Over 6.5: 29%

COL

Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA

WSH

Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • COL at home vs WSH: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	WSH 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-01-19	COL 5 - 2 WSH	COL	COL
2024-11-21	WSH 1 - 2 COL	COL	COL
2024-11-15	COL 2 - 5 WSH	WSH	COL
2024-02-13	WSH 3 - 6 COL	COL	COL

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	02:00	COL	Goal
1	04:25	COL	Goal
1	07:48	WSH	Goal
2	01:53	WSH	Goal
2	04:03	WSH	Goal
2	09:21	WSH	Goal
3	19:57	WSH	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 5 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.2 - 2.5