Nashville Predators at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2024-11-15 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 2 - 0 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

CGY: 67.8%

NSH: 32.2%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.05

NSH: 2.52

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 39%

CGY

Dustin Wolf - 14-14-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.82 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CGY	Dustin Wolf	29	29	0	100.0%	2.98	3	2.98
NSH	Juuse Saros	33	31	2	93.9%	3.80	2	1.80

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • CGY at home vs NSH: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	CGY 3 - 4 NSH	NSH	CGY
2025-12-02	NSH 5 - 1 CGY	NSH	NSH
2025-11-01	NSH 4 - 2 CGY	NSH	NSH
2025-01-04	CGY 1 - 4 NSH	NSH	CGY
2024-12-10	NSH 3 - 4 CGY	CGY	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	18	1	1.28
1	NSH	15	2	1.16
2	CGY	21	0	1.09
2	NSH	13	0	0.93
3	CGY	13	1	1.44
3	NSH	18	1	0.89

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 2 - 0 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.1 - 2.5