Vegas Golden Knights at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2024-11-15 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 2 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

UTA: 47.8%

VGK: 52.2%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.11

VGK: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 45%

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

VGK

Adin Hill - 1-0-2 | 0.888 SV% | 2.73 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	29	25	4	86.2%	3.83	4	-0.17
VGK	Adin Hill	32	30	2	93.8%	3.70	3	1.70

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • UTA at home vs VGK: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-01	UTA 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-04-29	VGK 5 - 4 UTA	VGK	VGK
2026-04-27	UTA 4 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-04-24	UTA 4 - 2 VGK	UTA	VGK
2026-04-21	VGK 2 - 3 UTA	UTA	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	26	1	1.78
1	VGK	9	0	0.29
2	UTA	14	1	1.10
2	VGK	14	2	1.57
3	UTA	10	1	0.82
3	VGK	14	2	1.97

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 2 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2