Vegas Golden Knights at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2024-11-15 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 2 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

UTA: 51.5%

VGK: 48.5%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.10

VGK: 3.40

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • UTA at home vs VGK: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-01	UTA 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-04-29	VGK 5 - 4 UTA	VGK	VGK
2026-04-27	UTA 4 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-04-24	UTA 4 - 2 VGK	UTA	VGK
2026-04-21	VGK 2 - 3 UTA	UTA	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	26	1	1.78
1	VGK	9	0	0.29
2	UTA	14	1	1.10
2	VGK	14	2	1.57
3	UTA	10	1	0.82
3	VGK	14	2	1.97

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 2 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.1 - 3.4