Detroit Red Wings at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2024-11-15 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 6 - 4 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

ANA: 54.2%

DET: 45.8%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.52

DET: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

DET

Alex Lyon - 14-9-1 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	25	21	4	84.0%	2.73	2	-1.27
DET	Alex Lyon	29	23	6	79.3%	3.36	1	-2.64

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ANA at home vs DET: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-13	DET 6 - 3 ANA	DET	DET
2025-10-31	ANA 5 - 2 DET	ANA	ANA
2025-02-23	DET 5 - 4 ANA	DET	ANA
2024-11-15	ANA 6 - 4 DET	ANA	ANA
2024-01-07	ANA 2 - 3 DET	DET	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	9	0	0.27
1	DET	17	0	1.12
2	ANA	21	0	1.52
2	DET	9	1	0.57
3	ANA	14	1	1.57
3	DET	16	1	1.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 6 - 4 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0