St. Louis Blues at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2024-11-16 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 2 - 3 St. Louis Blues
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 55.9%
STL: 44.1%
Expected Goals
BOS: 3.44
STL: 2.62
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
STL
Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA
| Stat | BOS | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.917 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.923 | 0.867 |
| GAA | 2.84 | 2.87 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 0% • BOS at home vs STL: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-09 | STL 2 - 5 BOS | BOS | STL |
| 2025-12-04 | BOS 5 - 2 STL | BOS | STL |
| 2024-11-16 | BOS 2 - 3 STL | STL | BOS |
| 2024-11-12 | STL 2 - 3 BOS | BOS | STL |
| 2024-03-11 | BOS 1 - 5 STL | STL | BOS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:25 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 09:34 | BOS | Goal |
| 1 | 12:12 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 09:18 | BOS | Goal |
| 4 | 02:53 | STL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 2 - 3 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.4 - 2.6
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