St. Louis Blues at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2024-11-16 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 2 - 3 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 52.5%

STL: 47.5%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.11

STL: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • BOS at home vs STL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-09	STL 2 - 5 BOS	BOS	STL
2025-12-04	BOS 5 - 2 STL	BOS	BOS
2024-11-16	BOS 2 - 3 STL	STL	BOS
2024-11-12	STL 2 - 3 BOS	BOS	STL
2024-03-11	BOS 1 - 5 STL	STL	BOS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	13	1	0.91
1	STL	14	0	0.73
2	BOS	7	0	0.41
2	STL	20	0	1.12
3	BOS	10	1	0.55
3	STL	15	0	0.61
4	BOS	1	0	0.04
4	STL	2	0	0.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 2 - 3 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1