New York Islanders at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2024-11-16 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 3 - 2 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 45.0%

NYI: 55.0%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.97

NYI: 3.33

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Joey Daccord	24	22	2	91.7%	3.08	2	1.08
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	27	24	3	88.9%	2.88	2	-0.12

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • SEA at home vs NYI: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-21	SEA 4 - 1 NYI	SEA	NYI
2025-11-23	NYI 1 - 0 SEA	NYI	NYI
2024-12-05	NYI 2 - 5 SEA	SEA	NYI
2024-11-16	SEA 3 - 2 NYI	SEA	NYI
2024-02-13	NYI 1 - 2 SEA	SEA	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	18	2	1.73
1	NYI	15	0	1.40
2	SEA	14	0	0.57
2	NYI	22	1	1.05
3	SEA	14	0	0.58
3	NYI	9	1	0.63

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 3 - 2 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3