New York Islanders at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2024-11-16 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 3 - 2 New York Islanders
🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 44.1%
NYI: 55.9%
Expected Goals
SEA: 3.17
NYI: 3.17
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 45%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • SEA at home vs NYI: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | SEA 4 - 1 NYI | SEA | NYI |
| 2025-11-23 | NYI 1 - 0 SEA | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-12-05 | NYI 2 - 5 SEA | SEA | NYI |
| 2024-11-16 | SEA 3 - 2 NYI | SEA | NYI |
| 2024-02-13 | NYI 1 - 2 SEA | SEA | NYI |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA | 18 | 2 | 1.73 |
| 1 | NYI | 15 | 0 | 1.40 |
| 2 | SEA | 14 | 0 | 0.57 |
| 2 | NYI | 22 | 1 | 1.05 |
| 3 | SEA | 14 | 0 | 0.58 |
| 3 | NYI | 9 | 1 | 0.63 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 3 - 2 New York Islanders
Expected: 3.2 - 3.2
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