Winnipeg Jets at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2024-11-16 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 5 - 0 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

FLA: 55.0%

WPG: 45.0%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.40

WPG: 2.73

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	27	27	0	100.0%	1.36	0	1.36
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	31	26	5	83.9%	3.38	4	-1.62

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • FLA at home vs WPG: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	FLA 1 - 2 WPG	WPG	FLA
2026-01-22	WPG 1 - 2 FLA	FLA	WPG
2024-11-19	WPG 6 - 3 FLA	WPG	FLA
2024-11-16	FLA 5 - 0 WPG	FLA	FLA
2023-11-24	FLA 0 - 3 WPG	WPG	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	12	1	0.88
1	WPG	7	0	0.46
2	FLA	18	2	1.84
2	WPG	14	0	0.56
3	FLA	8	1	0.67
3	WPG	11	0	0.34

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 5 - 0 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.4 - 2.7