Buffalo Sabres at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2024-11-16 • Wells Fargo Center
Philadelphia Flyers 5 - 2 Buffalo Sabres
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 53.8%
BUF: 46.2%
Expected Goals
PHI: 3.01
BUF: 3.08
Total Goals
Median: 5.3
Over 5.5: 49%
Over 6.5: 36%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
| Stat | PHI | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.914 | 0.847 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.667 | 0.889 |
| GAA | 2.40 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • PHI at home vs BUF: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-14 | BUF 5 - 2 PHI | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-12-18 | BUF 5 - 3 PHI | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-12-03 | PHI 5 - 2 BUF | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-04-17 | BUF 5 - 4 PHI | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-03-29 | PHI 7 - 4 BUF | PHI | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:57 | PHI | Goal |
| 1 | 16:01 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 02:08 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 17:07 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 10:06 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 18:55 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 19:42 | PHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 53.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 5 - 2 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.0 - 3.1
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