San Jose Sharks at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2024-11-16 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

PIT: 68.2%

SJS: 31.8%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.84

SJS: 2.80

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PIT at home vs SJS: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-13	PIT 5 - 6 SJS	SJS	PIT
2025-10-18	SJS 0 - 3 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-01-27	SJS 2 - 1 PIT	SJS	PIT
2024-11-16	PIT 4 - 3 SJS	PIT	PIT
2024-03-14	PIT 6 - 3 SJS	PIT	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	13	1	0.86
1	SJS	12	0	0.59
2	PIT	18	0	0.93
2	SJS	10	0	0.41
3	PIT	15	1	1.04
3	SJS	13	0	0.63
4	PIT	6	0	0.65
4	SJS	1	0	0.04
5	PIT	5	3	2.72
5	SJS	5	2	2.07

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.8 - 2.8