Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2024-11-16 • Xcel Energy Center
Minnesota Wild 1 - 2 Dallas Stars
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 52.4%
DAL: 47.6%
Expected Goals
MIN: 3.14
DAL: 3.03
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | MIN | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.836 | 0.916 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.879 | 0.915 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • MIN at home vs DAL: 3-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | DAL 5 - 4 MIN | DAL | DAL |
| 2026-03-21 | MIN 2 - 1 DAL | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-12-11 | MIN 5 - 2 DAL | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-10-14 | DAL 5 - 2 MIN | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-04-06 | MIN 3 - 2 DAL | MIN | MIN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:43 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 11:24 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 14:10 | DAL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 1 - 2 Dallas Stars
Expected: 3.1 - 3.0
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