Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2024-11-16 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 1 - 2 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

MIN: 45.2%

DAL: 54.8%

Expected Goals

MIN: 2.93

DAL: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • MIN at home vs DAL: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-30	MIN 5 - 2 DAL	MIN	MIN
2026-04-28	DAL 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	DAL
2026-04-25	MIN 3 - 2 DAL	MIN	MIN
2026-04-22	MIN 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	MIN
2026-04-20	DAL 4 - 2 MIN	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	12	0	0.38
1	DAL	22	0	0.95
2	MIN	12	0	0.66
2	DAL	14	0	0.92
3	MIN	19	1	0.99
3	DAL	15	1	0.86

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 1 - 2 Dallas Stars

Expected: 2.9 - 3.1