Detroit Red Wings at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2024-11-16 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

LAK: 76.1%

DET: 23.9%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.72

DET: 2.45

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

LAK

David Rittich - 16-14-2 | 0.886 SV% | 2.84 GAA

DET

Cam Talbot - 11-6-3 | 0.888 SV% | 2.99 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	David Rittich	18	17	1	94.4%	1.57	0	0.57
DET	Cam Talbot	41	37	4	90.2%	5.68	6	1.68

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • LAK at home vs DET: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-27	DET 1 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-10-30	LAK 3 - 4 DET	DET	LAK
2025-01-27	DET 5 - 2 LAK	DET	DET
2024-11-16	LAK 4 - 1 DET	LAK	LAK
2024-01-13	DET 5 - 3 LAK	DET	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	24	1	1.71
1	DET	7	0	0.62
2	LAK	21	1	1.11
2	DET	8	0	0.50
3	LAK	19	4	2.86
3	DET	10	0	0.45

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 76.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.7 - 2.4