St. Louis Blues at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2024-11-17 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 1 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

CAR: 84.7%

STL: 15.3%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.28

STL: 1.85

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

STL

Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	30	29	1	96.7%	2.66	2	1.66
STL	Joel Hofer	24	20	4	83.3%	3.33	1	-0.67

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CAR at home vs STL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	CAR 1 - 3 STL	STL	CAR
2026-01-13	STL 3 - 0 CAR	STL	CAR
2024-11-17	CAR 4 - 1 STL	CAR	CAR
2024-10-19	STL 4 - 3 CAR	STL	STL
2024-04-12	STL 2 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	13	0	0.76
1	STL	13	0	0.91
2	CAR	20	0	1.00
2	STL	14	2	1.45
3	CAR	19	1	1.57
3	STL	10	0	0.30

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 84.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 1 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 4.3 - 1.8