Nashville Predators at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2024-11-17 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 3 - 5 Nashville Predators
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 57.9%
NSH: 42.1%
Expected Goals
VAN: 3.36
NSH: 2.92
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 7-19-4 | 0.876 SV% | 3.67 GAA
NSH
Juuse Saros - 21-17-5 | 0.892 SV% | 3.20 GAA
| Stat | VAN | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.885 | 0.897 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.793 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.897 |
| GAA | 3.41 | 2.93 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 21% • VAN at home vs NSH: 2-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | NSH 4 - 5 VAN | VAN | NSH |
| 2025-10-23 | NSH 2 - 1 VAN | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-01-29 | NSH 1 - 3 VAN | VAN | NSH |
| 2025-01-03 | VAN 0 - 3 NSH | NSH | VAN |
| 2024-11-17 | VAN 3 - 5 NSH | NSH | VAN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:34 | VAN | Goal |
| 1 | 05:28 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 19:38 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 14:21 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 12:17 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 09:51 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 19:39 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 14:00 | NSH | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 3 - 5 Nashville Predators
Expected: 3.4 - 2.9