Washington Capitals at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2024-11-17 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 5 Washington Capitals
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 47.1%
WSH: 52.9%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.05
WSH: 2.95
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 49%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | VGK | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.879 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.900 | 0.891 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VGK at home vs WSH: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | VGK 4 - 5 WSH | WSH | VGK |
| 2026-02-27 | WSH 3 - 2 VGK | WSH | VGK |
| 2024-11-17 | VGK 2 - 5 WSH | WSH | WSH |
| 2024-10-15 | WSH 4 - 2 VGK | WSH | WSH |
| 2023-12-02 | VGK 4 - 1 WSH | VGK | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:59 | WSH | Goal |
| 1 | 12:26 | WSH | Goal |
| 1 | 19:52 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 02:49 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 07:24 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 17:38 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 19:23 | WSH | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 52.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 5 Washington Capitals
Expected: 3.0 - 3.0
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