Washington Capitals at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2024-11-18 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 2 - 6 Washington Capitals

🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)

Win Probability

UTA: 62.0%

WSH: 38.0%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.06

WSH: 3.83

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 51%

UTA

Connor Ingram - 9-8-4 | 0.882 SV% | 3.27 GAA

WSH

Charlie Lindgren - 6-4-2 | 0.887 SV% | 3.07 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
UTA	Connor Ingram	24	18	6	75.0%	2.18	1	-3.82
WSH	Charlie Lindgren	26	24	2	92.3%	4.44	4	2.44

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 25% • UTA at home vs WSH: 0-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-26	UTA 4 - 7 WSH	WSH	UTA
2026-03-03	WSH 2 - 3 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-02-09	WSH 4 - 5 UTA	UTA	WSH
2024-11-18	UTA 2 - 6 WSH	WSH	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	20	1	1.57
1	WSH	9	1	0.97
2	UTA	15	2	2.17
2	WSH	13	0	0.78
3	UTA	12	1	0.70
3	WSH	7	0	0.43

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 2 - 6 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.1 - 3.8