Washington Capitals at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions
2024-11-18 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 2 - 6 Washington Capitals
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
UTA: 51.1%
WSH: 48.9%
Expected Goals
UTA: 2.97
WSH: 3.91
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 27-15-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.61 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 20-16-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.41 GAA
| Stat | UTA | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.897 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.68 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 0% • UTA at home vs WSH: 0-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-09 | WSH 4 - 5 UTA | UTA | WSH |
| 2024-11-18 | UTA 2 - 6 WSH | WSH | UTA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:05 | UTA | Goal |
| 1 | 07:46 | UTA | Goal |
| 1 | 07:56 | WSH | Goal |
| 1 | 11:05 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 05:38 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 11:44 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 07:30 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 09:56 | WSH | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.9
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 2 - 6 Washington Capitals
Expected: 3.0 - 3.9