Washington Capitals at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions
2024-11-18 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 2 - 6 Washington Capitals
🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
UTA: 63.5%
WSH: 36.5%
Expected Goals
UTA: 3.05
WSH: 3.84
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 47%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 25% • UTA at home vs WSH: 0-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | UTA 4 - 7 WSH | WSH | UTA |
| 2026-03-03 | WSH 2 - 3 UTA | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-02-09 | WSH 4 - 5 UTA | UTA | WSH |
| 2024-11-18 | UTA 2 - 6 WSH | WSH | UTA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UTA | 20 | 1 | 1.57 |
| 1 | WSH | 9 | 1 | 0.97 |
| 2 | UTA | 15 | 2 | 2.17 |
| 2 | WSH | 13 | 0 | 0.78 |
| 3 | UTA | 12 | 1 | 0.70 |
| 3 | WSH | 7 | 0 | 0.43 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 63.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.9
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 2 - 6 Washington Capitals
Expected: 3.1 - 3.8
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