Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2024-11-19 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 2 - 4 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

STL: 43.5%

MIN: 56.5%

Expected Goals

STL: 2.88

MIN: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 41%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	28	24	4	85.7%	3.04	2	-0.96
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	24	22	2	91.7%	2.17	0	0.17

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • STL at home vs MIN: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	STL 6 - 3 MIN	STL	MIN
2026-03-01	MIN 1 - 3 STL	STL	MIN
2025-10-09	STL 0 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-03-15	MIN 1 - 5 STL	STL	STL
2025-01-07	MIN 6 - 4 STL	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	17	0	0.81
1	MIN	7	0	0.50
2	STL	10	0	0.82
2	MIN	18	1	1.27
3	STL	16	0	0.54
3	MIN	15	1	1.26

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 2 - 4 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 2.9 - 3.3