New York Islanders at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions
2024-11-19 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 2 - 1 New York Islanders
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CGY: 57.1%
NYI: 42.9%
Expected Goals
CGY: 2.93
NYI: 2.87
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | CGY | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.877 | 0.930 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.933 | — |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • CGY at home vs NYI: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | CGY 4 - 2 NYI | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-03-22 | NYI 3 - 4 CGY | CGY | NYI |
| 2024-11-19 | CGY 2 - 1 NYI | CGY | CGY |
| 2024-02-10 | NYI 2 - 5 CGY | CGY | NYI |
| 2023-11-18 | CGY 4 - 5 NYI | NYI | CGY |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 01:32 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 08:17 | CGY | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | CGY | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | CGY | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 2 - 1 New York Islanders
Expected: 2.9 - 2.9