Vegas Golden Knights at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2024-11-20 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs 3 - 0 Vegas Golden Knights
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 57.9%
VGK: 42.1%
Expected Goals
TOR: 3.09
VGK: 2.66
Total Goals
Median: 5.0
Over 5.5: 38%
Over 6.5: 24%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | TOR | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.914 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.863 | 0.879 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.818 | — |
| GAA | 2.74 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • TOR at home vs VGK: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | TOR 3 - 6 VGK | VGK | VGK |
| 2026-01-15 | VGK 6 - 5 TOR | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-03-05 | VGK 5 - 2 TOR | VGK | VGK |
| 2024-11-20 | TOR 3 - 0 VGK | TOR | TOR |
| 2024-02-27 | TOR 2 - 6 VGK | VGK | TOR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:53 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 03:01 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 16:41 | TOR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Toronto Maple Leafs 3 - 0 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 3.1 - 2.7
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