Vegas Golden Knights at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2024-11-20 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs 3 - 0 Vegas Golden Knights
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 60.4%
VGK: 39.6%
Expected Goals
TOR: 3.22
VGK: 2.76
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Joseph Woll - 13-7-4 | 0.908 SV% | 2.92 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
| Stat | TOR | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.914 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.910 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.818 | — |
| GAA | 2.74 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • TOR at home vs VGK: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | TOR 3 - 6 VGK | VGK | TOR |
| 2026-01-15 | VGK 6 - 5 TOR | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-03-05 | VGK 5 - 2 TOR | VGK | VGK |
| 2024-11-20 | TOR 3 - 0 VGK | TOR | TOR |
| 2024-02-27 | TOR 2 - 6 VGK | VGK | TOR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:53 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 16:41 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 03:01 | TOR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Toronto Maple Leafs 3 - 0 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 3.2 - 2.8