Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2024-11-20 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

PHI: 38.9%

CAR: 61.1%

Expected Goals

PHI: 2.59

CAR: 4.22

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 52%

PHI

Ivan Fedotov - 6-13-4 | 0.880 SV% | 3.15 GAA

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PHI	Ivan Fedotov	37	33	4	89.2%	3.14	2	-0.86
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	19	18	1	94.7%	1.51	0	0.51

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • PHI at home vs CAR: 1-13

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-11	PHI 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-10-03	PHI 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-05-09	PHI 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	PHI
2026-05-07	PHI 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	PHI
2026-05-04	CAR 3 - 2 PHI	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	16	0	0.96
1	CAR	17	1	0.75
2	PHI	7	0	0.25
2	CAR	17	1	1.14
3	PHI	6	0	0.30
3	CAR	27	0	1.24

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.6 - 4.2