Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2024-11-20 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

PHI: 35.2%

CAR: 64.8%

Expected Goals

PHI: 2.93

CAR: 3.67

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 53%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs CAR: 1-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-09	PHI 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	PHI
2026-05-07	PHI 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	PHI
2026-05-04	CAR 3 - 2 PHI	CAR	CAR
2026-05-02	CAR 3 - 0 PHI	CAR	CAR
2026-04-13	PHI 3 - 2 CAR	PHI	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	16	0	0.96
1	CAR	17	1	0.75
2	PHI	7	0	0.25
2	CAR	17	1	1.14
3	PHI	6	0	0.30
3	CAR	27	0	1.24

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.9 - 3.7