San Jose Sharks at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2024-11-20 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 5 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

DAL: 77.1%

SJS: 22.9%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.83

SJS: 2.46

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • DAL at home vs SJS: 4-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-10	SJS 5 - 4 DAL	SJS	DAL
2025-12-18	SJS 3 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-12-05	DAL 4 - 1 SJS	DAL	DAL
2025-02-08	SJS 3 - 8 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-11-20	DAL 5 - 2 SJS	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	18	1	1.37
1	SJS	12	1	0.98
2	DAL	14	1	0.81
2	SJS	11	0	0.81
3	DAL	14	4	2.86
3	SJS	10	0	0.59

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 77.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 5 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.8 - 2.5