Buffalo Sabres at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2024-11-20 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 0 - 1 Buffalo Sabres
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 54.2%
BUF: 45.8%
Expected Goals
LAK: 3.08
BUF: 3.48
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 35%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • LAK at home vs BUF: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | LAK 1 - 4 BUF | BUF | LAK |
| 2026-01-29 | BUF 4 - 1 LAK | BUF | LAK |
| 2024-11-20 | LAK 0 - 1 BUF | BUF | LAK |
| 2024-10-10 | BUF 1 - 3 LAK | LAK | BUF |
| 2024-02-13 | BUF 7 - 0 LAK | BUF | BUF |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAK | 11 | 0 | 0.85 |
| 1 | BUF | 17 | 0 | 0.95 |
| 2 | LAK | 19 | 1 | 1.64 |
| 2 | BUF | 5 | 0 | 0.29 |
| 3 | LAK | 19 | 1 | 1.25 |
| 3 | BUF | 11 | 0 | 0.30 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 1.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 0 - 1 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.1 - 3.5
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