Buffalo Sabres at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2024-11-20 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 0 - 1 Buffalo Sabres
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 52.6%
BUF: 47.4%
Expected Goals
LAK: 3.42
BUF: 2.97
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 70%
Over 6.5: 56%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 19-14-15 | 0.891 SV% | 2.78 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
| Stat | LAK | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.833 | 0.847 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.903 | 0.974 |
| GAA | 2.27 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • LAK at home vs BUF: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | LAK 1 - 4 BUF | BUF | LAK |
| 2026-01-29 | BUF 4 - 1 LAK | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-11-20 | LAK 0 - 1 BUF | BUF | LAK |
| 2024-10-10 | BUF 1 - 3 LAK | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-02-13 | BUF 7 - 0 LAK | BUF | BUF |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 00:38 | BUF | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 1.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 0 - 1 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.4 - 3.0
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