Buffalo Sabres at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2024-11-20 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 0 - 1 Buffalo Sabres

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 56.8%

BUF: 43.2%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.21

BUF: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

LAK

David Rittich - 16-14-2 | 0.886 SV% | 2.84 GAA

BUF

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen - 7-5-1 | 0.903 SV% | 2.46 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	David Rittich	19	18	1	94.7%	1.55	0	0.55
BUF	Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen	23	23	0	100.0%	3.75	2	3.75

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • LAK at home vs BUF: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	LAK 1 - 4 BUF	BUF	LAK
2026-01-29	BUF 4 - 1 LAK	BUF	LAK
2024-11-20	LAK 0 - 1 BUF	BUF	LAK
2024-10-10	BUF 1 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2024-02-13	BUF 7 - 0 LAK	BUF	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	11	0	0.85
1	BUF	17	0	0.95
2	LAK	19	1	1.64
2	BUF	5	0	0.29
3	LAK	19	1	1.25
3	BUF	11	0	0.30

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 0 - 1 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9