New York Islanders at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2024-11-21 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 1 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

DET: 49.3%

NYI: 50.7%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.99

NYI: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • DET at home vs NYI: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-16	DET 3 - 2 NYI	DET	DET
2025-11-20	DET 0 - 5 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-10-23	NYI 7 - 2 DET	NYI	NYI
2024-11-25	NYI 2 - 4 DET	DET	NYI
2024-11-21	DET 2 - 1 NYI	DET	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	15	1	0.87
1	NYI	12	0	0.50
2	DET	16	0	0.69
2	NYI	11	0	0.39
3	DET	15	0	0.84
3	NYI	12	0	0.62

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 1 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2