Colorado Avalanche at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2024-11-21 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 1 - 2 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

WSH: 44.3%

COL: 55.7%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.29

COL: 3.36

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • WSH at home vs COL: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	WSH 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-01-19	COL 5 - 2 WSH	COL	COL
2024-11-21	WSH 1 - 2 COL	COL	COL
2024-11-15	COL 2 - 5 WSH	WSH	COL
2024-02-13	WSH 3 - 6 COL	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	15	0	1.06
1	COL	8	1	0.83
2	WSH	5	0	0.44
2	COL	17	0	1.21
3	WSH	22	2	1.99
3	COL	15	2	1.89

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 1 - 2 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.3 - 3.4