Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions
2024-11-21 • Nationwide Arena
Columbus Blue Jackets 7 - 6 Tampa Bay Lightning
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CBJ: 57.5%
TBL: 42.5%
Expected Goals
CBJ: 3.55
TBL: 3.20
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CBJ
Jet Greaves - 18-12-6 | 0.910 SV% | 2.62 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 28-7-3 | 0.920 SV% | 2.11 GAA
| Stat | CBJ | TBL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.928 | 0.921 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.870 | — |
| GAA | 2.62 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 88% • CBJ at home vs TBL: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | CBJ 8 - 5 TBL | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-10-18 | CBJ 3 - 2 TBL | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-03-04 | TBL 6 - 2 CBJ | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-12-17 | TBL 5 - 3 CBJ | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-11-21 | CBJ 7 - 6 TBL | CBJ | CBJ |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:35 | TBL | Goal |
| 1 | 11:52 | TBL | Goal |
| 1 | 03:58 | TBL | Goal |
| 1 | 01:51 | TBL | Goal |
| 2 | 06:18 | CBJ | Goal |
| 2 | 05:26 | CBJ | Goal |
| 2 | 03:42 | CBJ | Goal |
| 2 | 02:11 | TBL | Goal |
| 2 | 01:55 | CBJ | Goal |
| 2 | 00:28 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 11:23 | CBJ | Goal |
| 3 | 10:39 | CBJ | Goal |
| 4 | 01:26 | CBJ | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 13.0
Expected: 6.8
Score Breakdown
Columbus Blue Jackets 7 - 6 Tampa Bay Lightning
Expected: 3.5 - 3.2