New York Rangers at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions
2024-11-21 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 3 - 2 New York Rangers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CGY: 54.4%
NYR: 45.6%
Expected Goals
CGY: 2.81
NYR: 3.01
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 36%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
| Stat | CGY | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.877 | 0.942 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.968 | 0.833 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CGY at home vs NYR: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-26 | CGY 5 - 1 NYR | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-03-18 | NYR 1 - 2 CGY | CGY | NYR |
| 2024-11-21 | CGY 3 - 2 NYR | CGY | CGY |
| 2024-02-12 | NYR 2 - 0 CGY | NYR | NYR |
| 2023-10-24 | CGY 1 - 3 NYR | NYR | CGY |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:26 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 08:29 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 16:37 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 16:53 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 10:35 | CGY | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 3 - 2 New York Rangers
Expected: 2.8 - 3.0