New York Rangers at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2024-11-21 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 3 - 2 New York Rangers

Win Probability

CGY: 55.4%

NYR: 44.6%

Expected Goals

CGY: 2.89

NYR: 2.50

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • CGY at home vs NYR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-10	NYR 4 - 0 CGY	NYR	NYR
2025-10-26	CGY 5 - 1 NYR	CGY	CGY
2025-03-18	NYR 1 - 2 CGY	CGY	NYR
2024-11-21	CGY 3 - 2 NYR	CGY	CGY
2024-02-12	NYR 2 - 0 CGY	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	27	1	1.31
1	NYR	7	0	0.33
2	CGY	24	0	1.23
2	NYR	18	0	1.03
3	CGY	19	3	2.38
3	NYR	12	1	0.74

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.4

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 3 - 2 New York Rangers

Expected: 2.9 - 2.5