Minnesota Wild at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-11-21 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 5 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Loss (68% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 68.2%

MIN: 31.8%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.50

MIN: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • EDM at home vs MIN: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	EDM 3 - 7 MIN	MIN	EDM
2025-12-20	MIN 5 - 2 EDM	MIN	EDM
2025-12-02	EDM 0 - 1 MIN	MIN	EDM
2025-01-15	MIN 3 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM
2024-12-12	MIN 1 - 7 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	8	0	0.37
1	MIN	13	0	0.83
2	EDM	16	0	0.48
2	MIN	15	1	0.98
3	EDM	16	1	1.39
3	MIN	8	1	0.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 68.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 5 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0