Buffalo Sabres at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2024-11-22 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 3 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

ANA: 49.6%

BUF: 50.4%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.03

BUF: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

BUF

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen - 7-5-1 | 0.903 SV% | 2.46 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	33	30	3	90.9%	4.07	2	1.07
BUF	Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen	24	22	2	91.7%	3.26	2	1.26

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ANA at home vs BUF: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	ANA 6 - 5 BUF	ANA	ANA
2026-01-10	BUF 5 - 3 ANA	BUF	BUF
2025-02-25	BUF 3 - 2 ANA	BUF	BUF
2024-11-22	ANA 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2024-02-19	BUF 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	11	1	0.76
1	BUF	20	1	0.99
2	ANA	17	0	1.28
2	BUF	15	1	1.64
3	ANA	16	1	1.03
3	BUF	13	0	0.70
4	ANA	2	0	0.19
4	BUF	8	0	0.74

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 3 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2