Colorado Avalanche at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2024-11-23 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 4 - 7 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

FLA: 47.5%

COL: 52.5%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.28

COL: 3.32

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 40%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

COL

Alexandar Georgiev - 38-18-5 | 0.897 SV% | 3.02 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	25	18	7	72.0%	3.24	2	-3.76
COL	Alexandar Georgiev	31	27	4	87.1%	2.89	1	-1.11

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • FLA at home vs COL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-04	FLA 2 - 1 COL	FLA	COL
2025-12-11	COL 6 - 2 FLA	COL	COL
2025-01-06	COL 3 - 1 FLA	COL	COL
2024-11-23	FLA 4 - 7 COL	COL	COL
2024-02-10	FLA 4 - 0 COL	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	11	1	1.09
1	COL	10	1	1.00
2	FLA	12	0	0.57
2	COL	15	0	0.93
3	FLA	22	0	1.23
3	COL	9	1	1.32

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 4 - 7 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.3 - 3.3