Boston Bruins at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2024-11-23 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 1 - 2 Boston Bruins
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 58.5%
BOS: 41.5%
Expected Goals
DET: 2.80
BOS: 2.81
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | DET | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.889 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.895 | 0.904 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • DET at home vs BOS: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-13 | BOS 3 - 0 DET | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-12-02 | DET 5 - 4 BOS | DET | DET |
| 2025-11-29 | BOS 3 - 2 DET | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-03-29 | DET 2 - 1 BOS | DET | DET |
| 2024-12-03 | BOS 3 - 2 DET | BOS | BOS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:33 | BOS | Goal |
| 1 | 19:02 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 11:30 | BOS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 1 - 2 Boston Bruins
Expected: 2.8 - 2.8