New Jersey Devils at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions
2024-11-23 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals 2 - 3 New Jersey Devils
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 58.2%
NJD: 41.8%
Expected Goals
WSH: 3.31
NJD: 2.82
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 20-16-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.41 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
| Stat | WSH | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.899 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.928 | — |
| GAA | 2.39 | 3.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 10% • WSH at home vs NJD: 1-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-27 | NJD 3 - 4 WSH | WSH | NJD |
| 2025-11-15 | WSH 2 - 3 NJD | NJD | WSH |
| 2024-11-30 | NJD 5 - 6 WSH | WSH | NJD |
| 2024-11-23 | WSH 2 - 3 NJD | NJD | WSH |
| 2024-10-19 | NJD 5 - 6 WSH | WSH | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:52 | WSH | Goal |
| 1 | 16:31 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 07:08 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 15:42 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 04:54 | NJD | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Washington Capitals 2 - 3 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 3.3 - 2.8