Buffalo Sabres at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2024-11-23 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 2 - 4 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

SJS: 45.7%

BUF: 54.3%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.04

BUF: 3.45

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • SJS at home vs BUF: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	SJS 0 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-03-10	BUF 6 - 3 SJS	BUF	BUF
2025-03-04	BUF 2 - 6 SJS	SJS	BUF
2024-11-23	SJS 2 - 4 BUF	BUF	BUF
2024-01-27	SJS 2 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	19	1	1.32
1	BUF	14	0	0.52
2	SJS	21	0	1.50
2	BUF	16	0	0.65
3	SJS	10	0	0.98
3	BUF	13	1	1.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 2 - 4 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.0 - 3.5