New York Rangers at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-11-23 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 2 New York Rangers

Win Probability

EDM: 73.9%

NYR: 26.1%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.66

NYR: 2.64

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 46%

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

NYR

Jonathan Quick - 3-6-1 | 0.924 SV% | 2.11 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Stuart Skinner	34	32	2	94.1%	1.92	0	-0.08
NYR	Jonathan Quick	40	34	6	85.0%	2.87	0	-3.13

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • EDM at home vs NYR: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-30	EDM 3 - 4 NYR	NYR	EDM
2025-10-14	NYR 0 - 2 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-03-16	NYR 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM
2024-11-23	EDM 6 - 2 NYR	EDM	EDM
2023-12-22	NYR 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	EDM	22	0.99
1	NYR	15	0.55
2	EDM	16	1.30
2	NYR	21	0.85
3	EDM	11	0.59
3	NYR	11	0.52

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 73.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 2 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.7 - 2.6