Washington Capitals at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2024-11-25 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 1 - 4 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

FLA: 45.5%

WSH: 54.5%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.26

WSH: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • FLA at home vs WSH: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	WSH 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	WSH
2025-12-29	FLA 5 - 3 WSH	FLA	FLA
2025-11-13	FLA 6 - 3 WSH	FLA	WSH
2025-03-22	WSH 6 - 3 FLA	WSH	WSH
2025-02-04	WSH 6 - 3 FLA	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	11	2	0.72
1	WSH	16	1	0.79
2	FLA	23	0	1.10
2	WSH	16	0	0.73
3	FLA	9	0	0.42
3	WSH	20	3	3.31

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 1 - 4 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2