Nashville Predators at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2024-11-25 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 5 - 2 Nashville Predators
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 63.6%
NSH: 36.4%
Expected Goals
NJD: 3.41
NSH: 2.63
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA
NSH
Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA
| Stat | NJD | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.897 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.32 | 2.93 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | Jacob Markstrom | 22 | 20 | 2 | 90.9% | 2.19 | 1 | 0.19 |
| NSH | Juuse Saros | 46 | 41 | 5 | 89.1% | 5.27 | 5 | 0.27 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NJD at home vs NSH: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | NSH 2 - 4 NJD | NJD | NJD |
| 2026-01-29 | NJD 3 - 2 NSH | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-02-23 | NSH 0 - 5 NJD | NJD | NSH |
| 2024-11-25 | NJD 5 - 2 NSH | NJD | NJD |
| 2024-04-07 | NJD 2 - 3 NSH | NSH | NJD |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NJD | 16 | 1 | 1.14 |
| 1 | NSH | 9 | 1 | 0.68 |
| 2 | NJD | 23 | 3 | 2.50 |
| 2 | NSH | 18 | 0 | 1.03 |
| 3 | NJD | 21 | 1 | 1.63 |
| 3 | NSH | 7 | 0 | 0.48 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 63.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 5 - 2 Nashville Predators
Expected: 3.4 - 2.6
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