Calgary Flames at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2024-11-25 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 4 - 3 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

OTT: 67.3%

CGY: 32.7%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.25

CGY: 2.88

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • OTT at home vs CGY: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-05	CGY 1 - 4 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-10-30	OTT 4 - 3 CGY	OTT	OTT
2024-12-19	CGY 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-11-25	OTT 4 - 3 CGY	OTT	OTT
2024-01-09	CGY 6 - 3 OTT	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	OTT	12	1.09
1	CGY	11	0.69
2	OTT	14	0.86
2	CGY	13	0.78
3	OTT	13	1.31
3	CGY	10	0.44

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 4 - 3 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9