Detroit Red Wings at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2024-11-25 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 2 - 4 Detroit Red Wings

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 60.0%

DET: 40.0%

Expected Goals

NYI: 4.00

DET: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • NYI at home vs DET: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-16	DET 3 - 2 NYI	DET	DET
2025-11-20	DET 0 - 5 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-10-23	NYI 7 - 2 DET	NYI	NYI
2024-11-25	NYI 2 - 4 DET	DET	NYI
2024-11-21	DET 2 - 1 NYI	DET	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	18	0	0.61
1	DET	11	1	0.61
2	NYI	10	1	0.87
2	DET	14	0	0.71
3	NYI	17	2	1.43
3	DET	15	1	1.52

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 2 - 4 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 4.0 - 3.0