Winnipeg Jets at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2024-11-25 • Xcel Energy Center
Minnesota Wild 1 - 4 Winnipeg Jets
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 56.3%
WPG: 43.7%
Expected Goals
MIN: 2.99
WPG: 3.14
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | MIN | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.895 | 0.879 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.867 | 0.898 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • MIN at home vs WPG: 0-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 | MIN 2 - 6 WPG | WPG | MIN |
| 2025-12-27 | WPG 3 - 4 MIN | MIN | WPG |
| 2025-11-23 | WPG 0 - 3 MIN | MIN | WPG |
| 2025-10-28 | MIN 3 - 4 WPG | WPG | MIN |
| 2024-12-21 | WPG 5 - 0 MIN | WPG | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:37 | MIN | Goal |
| 1 | 10:03 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 12:05 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 13:20 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 18:57 | WPG | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 1 - 4 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.0 - 3.1