Seattle Kraken at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2024-11-25 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 3 Seattle Kraken

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 51.7%

SEA: 48.3%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.12

SEA: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 41%

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Lukas Dostal	28	25	3	89.3%	1.94	0	-1.06
SEA	Joey Daccord	23	21	2	91.3%	2.29	1	0.29

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • ANA at home vs SEA: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-03	ANA 4 - 2 SEA	ANA	ANA
2026-01-23	SEA 2 - 4 ANA	ANA	SEA
2025-12-22	ANA 1 - 3 SEA	SEA	ANA
2025-10-09	SEA 3 - 1 ANA	SEA	ANA
2025-01-28	SEA 4 - 6 ANA	ANA	ANA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	10	0	0.81
1	SEA	19	0	0.66
2	ANA	8	1	0.81
2	SEA	16	0	0.67
3	ANA	15	0	0.67
3	SEA	15	0	0.61

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 3 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1