Vancouver Canucks at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2024-11-26 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 0 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 56.1%

VAN: 43.9%

Expected Goals

BOS: 2.97

VAN: 2.82

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 41%

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	15	13	2	86.7%	1.29	1	-0.71
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	33	33	0	100.0%	3.42	3	3.42

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BOS at home vs VAN: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	VAN 2 - 3 BOS	BOS	BOS
2025-12-20	BOS 4 - 5 VAN	VAN	BOS
2024-12-14	VAN 1 - 5 BOS	BOS	BOS
2024-11-26	BOS 0 - 2 VAN	VAN	BOS
2024-02-24	VAN 3 - 2 BOS	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	12	2	1.16
1	VAN	4	0	0.17
2	BOS	15	1	1.24
2	VAN	8	0	0.39
3	BOS	18	0	1.02
3	VAN	8	1	0.73

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 0 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.0 - 2.8