Utah Hockey Club at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2024-11-26 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 2 - 3 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

MTL: 42.3%

UTA: 57.7%

Expected Goals

MTL: 2.97

UTA: 3.26

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MTL at home vs UTA: 1-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-26	UTA 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	UTA
2025-11-08	MTL 6 - 2 UTA	MTL	MTL
2025-01-14	UTA 3 - 5 MTL	MTL	UTA
2024-11-26	MTL 2 - 3 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	10	0	0.67
1	UTA	21	0	1.80
2	MTL	10	2	1.22
2	UTA	13	1	0.92
3	MTL	8	1	0.91
3	UTA	12	0	0.83
4	MTL	2	0	0.11
4	UTA	1	1	0.39

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 2 - 3 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3