Utah Hockey Club at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2024-11-26 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 2 - 3 Utah Hockey Club
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 48.8%
UTA: 51.2%
Expected Goals
MTL: 2.85
UTA: 3.16
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 49%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | MTL | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.878 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.912 | 0.750 |
| GAA | 3.01 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MTL at home vs UTA: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-26 | UTA 3 - 4 MTL | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-11-08 | MTL 6 - 2 UTA | MTL | UTA |
| 2025-01-14 | UTA 3 - 5 MTL | MTL | UTA |
| 2024-11-26 | MTL 2 - 3 UTA | UTA | UTA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 06:23 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 08:05 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 00:46 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 04:17 | MTL | Goal |
| 4 | 04:33 | UTA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 51.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 2 - 3 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 2.9 - 3.2
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.