St. Louis Blues at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2024-11-27 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 0 - 3 St. Louis Blues
🚨 Upset Loss (68% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 68.1%
STL: 31.9%
Expected Goals
NJD: 3.47
STL: 2.45
Total Goals
Median: 4.9
Over 5.5: 40%
Over 6.5: 26%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 23-19-1 | 0.883 SV% | 3.07 GAA
STL
Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA
| Stat | NJD | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.873 | 0.917 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.939 | — |
| GAA | 3.32 | 2.87 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NJD at home vs STL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | STL 1 - 3 NJD | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-11-26 | NJD 3 - 2 STL | NJD | NJD |
| 2024-12-17 | STL 1 - 4 NJD | NJD | NJD |
| 2024-11-27 | NJD 0 - 3 STL | STL | NJD |
| 2024-03-07 | NJD 4 - 1 STL | NJD | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:09 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 06:23 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 16:05 | STL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 68.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 0 - 3 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.5 - 2.4
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