New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2024-11-27 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 3 New York Rangers

Win Probability

CAR: 81.9%

NYR: 18.1%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.66

NYR: 2.51

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

CAR

Spencer Martin - 7-9-2 | 0.889 SV% | 3.30 GAA

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Spencer Martin	22	19	3	86.4%	2.08	1	-0.92
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	31	27	4	87.1%	3.30	4	-0.70

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • CAR at home vs NYR: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NYR 0 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-12-29	CAR 3 - 2 NYR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-26	CAR 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	CAR
2025-11-04	NYR 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-04-12	CAR 7 - 3 NYR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	17	1	0.83
1	NYR	15	0	0.88
2	CAR	15	1	0.92
2	NYR	11	1	0.84
3	CAR	16	2	1.56
3	NYR	11	0	0.37

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 81.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 3 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.7 - 2.5