Calgary Flames at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2024-11-27 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 1 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

DET: 60.6%

CGY: 39.4%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.12

CGY: 2.65

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 37%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • DET at home vs CGY: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-16	DET 5 - 2 CGY	DET	DET
2025-12-10	CGY 3 - 4 DET	DET	CGY
2025-02-01	CGY 1 - 3 DET	DET	CGY
2024-11-27	DET 2 - 1 CGY	DET	DET
2024-02-17	CGY 0 - 5 DET	DET	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	11	0	0.51
1	CGY	10	1	0.63
2	DET	15	1	1.22
2	CGY	10	0	0.47
3	DET	13	0	0.57
3	CGY	18	0	0.92
4	DET	2	1	0.33
4	CGY	2	0	0.07

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 1 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.1 - 2.7