Boston Bruins at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2024-11-27 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 3 - 6 Boston Bruins
🚨 Upset Loss (67% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 67.3%
BOS: 32.7%
Expected Goals
NYI: 3.31
BOS: 2.29
Total Goals
Median: 4.9
Over 5.5: 38%
Over 6.5: 25%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
| Stat | NYI | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.851 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.839 | 0.948 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NYI at home vs BOS: 1-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-26 | NYI 1 - 3 BOS | BOS | NYI |
| 2025-11-04 | NYI 3 - 4 BOS | BOS | NYI |
| 2025-10-28 | BOS 5 - 2 NYI | BOS | NYI |
| 2025-02-27 | BOS 1 - 2 NYI | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-01-05 | BOS 4 - 5 NYI | NYI | NYI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:57 | BOS | Goal |
| 1 | 06:31 | BOS | Goal |
| 1 | 12:50 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 08:52 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 11:59 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 19:52 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 10:48 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 13:23 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 17:58 | BOS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 67.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 3 - 6 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.3 - 2.3
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