Boston Bruins at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2024-11-27 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 3 - 6 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Loss (65% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 64.7%

BOS: 35.3%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.39

BOS: 2.87

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • NYI at home vs BOS: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-26	NYI 1 - 3 BOS	BOS	NYI
2025-11-04	NYI 3 - 4 BOS	BOS	NYI
2025-10-28	BOS 5 - 2 NYI	BOS	NYI
2025-02-27	BOS 1 - 2 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-01-05	BOS 4 - 5 NYI	NYI	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	13	0	0.87
1	BOS	17	0	0.65
2	NYI	10	1	0.81
2	BOS	11	0	0.32
3	NYI	16	0	0.53
3	BOS	8	2	1.48

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 64.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 3 - 6 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.4 - 2.9