Vancouver Canucks at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2024-11-27 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 4 Vancouver Canucks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 63.2%
VAN: 36.8%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.96
VAN: 2.91
Total Goals
Median: 7.0
Over 5.5: 69%
Over 6.5: 54%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 7-19-4 | 0.876 SV% | 3.67 GAA
| Stat | PIT | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.885 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.863 | 0.793 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.938 | 0.843 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 3.41 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • PIT at home vs VAN: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | VAN 2 - 3 PIT | PIT | VAN |
| 2025-10-21 | PIT 5 - 1 VAN | PIT | PIT |
| 2024-11-27 | PIT 5 - 4 VAN | PIT | PIT |
| 2024-10-26 | VAN 4 - 3 PIT | VAN | VAN |
| 2024-02-27 | VAN 3 - 4 PIT | PIT | VAN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:59 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 08:52 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 12:53 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 15:14 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 17:41 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 03:40 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 13:40 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 00:40 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 18:14 | PIT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 63.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.9
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 4 Vancouver Canucks
Expected: 4.0 - 2.9