Montreal Canadiens at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2024-11-27 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 4 Montreal Canadiens

🚨 Upset Loss (67% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 66.6%

MTL: 33.4%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.85

MTL: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 52%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 22% • CBJ at home vs MTL: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	MTL 2 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	MTL
2026-03-26	MTL 2 - 1 CBJ	MTL	CBJ
2025-11-17	CBJ 4 - 3 MTL	CBJ	MTL
2024-12-23	CBJ 5 - 4 MTL	CBJ	MTL
2024-11-27	CBJ 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	CBJ

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	13	1	0.76
1	MTL	15	1	1.32
2	CBJ	10	2	1.10
2	MTL	15	0	0.72
3	CBJ	15	0	0.83
3	MTL	8	0	0.32
4	CBJ	0	0	0.00
4	MTL	3	1	0.46

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 66.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 4 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.8 - 3.0