Vegas Golden Knights at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2024-11-27 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 1 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

COL: 52.9%

VGK: 47.1%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.24

VGK: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 46% • COL at home vs VGK: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-26	VGK 2 - 1 COL	VGK	COL
2026-05-24	VGK 5 - 3 COL	VGK	COL
2026-05-22	COL 1 - 3 VGK	VGK	COL
2026-05-20	COL 2 - 4 VGK	VGK	COL
2026-04-11	COL 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	12	0	0.59
1	VGK	13	0	0.65
2	COL	17	0	1.31
2	VGK	8	0	0.62
3	COL	24	0	1.90
3	VGK	6	1	0.45
4	COL	7	1	0.80
4	VGK	0	0	0.00
5	COL	5	1	0.91
5	VGK	5	0	0.37

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 1 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0