Vegas Golden Knights at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2024-11-27 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 2 - 1 Vegas Golden Knights
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 58.4%
VGK: 41.6%
Expected Goals
COL: 2.75
VGK: 2.18
Total Goals
Median: 3.2
Over 5.5: 15%
Over 6.5: 10%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | COL | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.951 | 0.879 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.854 | — |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • COL at home vs VGK: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | COL 2 - 3 VGK | VGK | COL |
| 2025-12-27 | VGK 5 - 6 COL | COL | VGK |
| 2025-10-31 | VGK 2 - 4 COL | COL | COL |
| 2025-04-08 | COL 3 - 2 VGK | COL | COL |
| 2024-11-27 | COL 2 - 1 VGK | COL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 13:09 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 13:42 | COL | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | COL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 4.9
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 2 - 1 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 2.8 - 2.2
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.